We are only 35 minutes away from the kickoff of the AFC Championship game between the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs, and the MVP Blog is sharing our favorite bets to help you make some money while you take in these two games. We will discuss spreads, over/unders, and our favorite prop bets.

So, kick your feet up, grab some lunch, and take in a bonus blog from The MVP! Let’s dive straight in.

AFC Championship Game

Cincinnati Bengals at Kansas City Chiefs

Sunday, January 30th, 3:00pm EST on CBS

Spread (KC -7)

Take Chiefs -7. There is a much better chance of this one becoming a blowout than of the Bengals actually winning. Mahomes and the Chiefs offense will get pretty much whatever they want in this one.

Over/Under (55)

I love the over in this one. When these two teams met in week 16, 65 total points were put on the scoreboard. Both defenses are mediocre. The Chiefs had been better as of late, but Gabriel Davis and Josh Allen showed how suspect the Chiefs’ secondary is. Both offenses will put up points. Total in this one will approach, if not surpass, 70.

Prop Bets

One of my favorites is both teams to score 25+ points (+178). Like I already mentioned, I think the offenses have little trouble in this one. Both teams to score 30+ is +400. I’m not as confident in that one, but it’s great value at +400. I LOVE Tee Higgins to lead the game in receiving yards (+450). That’s great value. I think the Chiefs will cover Chase like they covered Diggs last week. A safety will bracket him on every single play. Burrow will be forced to look elsewhere. And either Higgins or Boyd will have a huge game, but it’s more likely to be Higgins, in my opinion. I would even double down on it with Tee Higgins over 125.5 receiving yards (+400). I also like Patrick Mahomes over 34.5 rushing yards (Even). Mahomes has been using his legs a little bit more lately. He has surpassed that 34.5 mark in 2 out of his last 3. The Bengals can get after the QB a little bit with Trey Hendrickson, Sam Hubbard, and Larry Ogunjobi. Look for Mahomes to get out of the pocket and have some room to run. If you want a layup, take total QB sacks over 4.5 (-160). Burrow was planted 9 times last week against the Titans. In week 16, the Chiefs got to him 4 times. The Bengals allowed the 3rd most sacks in the NFL this year. I like the Chiefs to get to Burrow at least 4 times again. That would leave the Bengals only needing one, which I promise you they will get.

NFC Championship Game

San Francisco 49ers at Los Angeles Rams

Sunday, January 30th, 6:30pm EST on FOX

Spread (LAR -3.5)

I like the Rams to win, but I think Niners +3.5 is the smart play here. -3.5 lines scare me to know end, and I very rarely take them. When teams are very even, like the Rams and Niners are, the games oftentimes come down to a field goal. Look at last weekend, 3 games were decided on a last second field goal. And I think that’s how this one ends. Rams win on a field goal as the clock hits 0’s.

Over/Under (45.5)

I like the under in this one. In their two previous meeting this season, 41 and 51 points were scored. Vegas more or less split the difference with this line. I don’t think this one even gets to 41, though. Both defenses are solid. Stafford is in unchartered waters and is going to come out and try to do too much early. Jimmy G just isn’t any good. I think this one will end up somewhere between 27-38. It’ll be an offensive struggle.

Prop Bets

One bet I very much like is first score method: field goal (+150). Like I said earlier, I think this one is an offensive struggle. Both teams will struggle to move the ball, especially early. An early turnover will give somebody great field position, but they will only convert it into a field goal. Cooper Kupp total receiving yards over 104.5 (-115). He’s having one of the greatest seasons for a WR in NFL history. 104.5 is really high for a receiving prop, but I’m confident in the over here. In the previous two meetings, Kupp had 122 and 118 yards. Stafford will give him plenty of targets. And we all know that Kupp will get open. Jimmy Garoppolo total passing yards under 199.5 (+165). Jimmy has gone under that number on 7 separate occasions this season, including both playoff games. He just isn’t very good. And Shannahan doesn’t completely trust him. Shannahan is going to pound the rock. The last one that I like is OBJ to score a touchdown (+140). Since joining the Rams, OBJ has 6 TDs in 10 games. He’s got some of his swagger back. I like Stafford to throw 2 TDs, and I really think one of them goes to OBJ. Just a gut feeling.

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Author: Ryan Macdonald

Published: 1/30/22 at 1:25pm EST

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Sources/Works Cited:

Google Images, Google, https://images.google.com/imghp?hl=en.